Guerre en Ukraine : de la prudence à l'affolement… Ce que cache le virage de Macron
www.marianne.net
Quelle mouche a piqué le président au moment d'envisager l'envoi de troupes en Ukraine ? Plusieurs rapports confidentiels défense expliquent « l’affolement » de l’Élysée, où les chefs de partis sont invités ce jeudi 7 mars à évoquer la question. Sur le front, les Russes sont en position de force. Fallait-il pour autant, face à Poutine, brandir une menace intenable ?

Summary

  1. Western planners underestimated Russian moral strength and assumed their defense lines would collapse upon breach.
  2. Ukrainian brigade training was insufficient, too administrative, and short.
  3. Western equipment is considered less efficient than Soviet due to maintenance issues and degraded mode capabilities.
  4. The report emphasizes Russian superiority in defensive tactics with heavy machinery for fortification.
  5. The Russian army is recognized as the technical reference for defensive strategies.
  6. Western press reported Moscow’s lack of interest in soldiers’ lives, but confidential reports suggest otherwise.
  7. Russians practice “Maskirovka,” appearing weak to hide their true strength.
  8. A stampede occurred during the loss of Avdiivka on February 17.
  9. Macron presented other reports to political opponents, challenging Western press’s underestimation of Russian capabilities.
  10. Ukrainian general staff lacks a critical mass of ground forces capable of breaking through Russian defensive lines.
  11. The most serious error is seeking exclusively military solutions to end hostilities.
  12. A French officer concludes that Ukraine cannot win the war militarily due to insufficient forces.
  13. Ukrainian soldiers’ fighting spirit is affected by ongoing conflict.
  14. Zelensky needs 35,000 men per month but isn’t recruiting half of them while Putin draws from a pool of 30,000 volunteers each month.
  15. The Ukrainian failure at Avdiivka demonstrates that Kiev is not capable of re-establishing the collapsing front with an “elite” brigade’s dispatch.
  • Franfran2424@lemmygrad.ml
    0·
    8 months ago

    Surprisingly good.

    Ukraine couldn’t win militarily despite western aid, which as leftists correctly calculated, only slowed the conflict.

    Ukraine was pressed to aim for a total victory, no diplomatic attempts. That’s because of a perceived Russian weakness which wasn’t ever there. When pressured by a defeat, Russia redoubled their efforts instead of pulling out.

    Russian military and industry are vastly more capable now than at the start of the conflict, and western equivalents aren’t much more prepared, and Ukrainian equivalent lacks resources

  • Shrike502@lemmygrad.ml
    0·
    8 months ago

    Western planners underestimated Russian moral strength

    Well now they have the desired Intel.

    degraded mode capabilities

    What does that mean?

    defensive tactics with heavy machinery for fortification.

    Which is amusing, given the amount of supposed mechanisation yankee military has. Those trench digging excavators, those tractors for filling sandbags, etc.

    Russians practice “Maskirovka,”

    It annoys me perhaps more that it should when foreign press take a normal Russian word and slap it into the text untranslated so it sounds more strange and menacing. Maskirovka just means camouflage, masking, you dolts. “Kompromat” isn’t even a Russian word, and “dizinformatsiya” just makes my eyes hurt. Bloody journos.

    Ukrainian general staff lacks a critical mass of ground forces capable of breaking through

    Sounds like a thinly veiled call for NATO boots on the ground. As in, officially and end mass, as opposed to “volunteers”.

    most serious error is seeking exclusively military solutions to end hostilities

    Which likely means “must also seek ways to hurt the economy” and terrorism. Not “let’s sit down and actually try to communicate”.

    French officer concludes that Ukraine cannot win the war militarily due to insufficient forces

    Which again, suggests “non military” solutions - terrorism against infrastructure and various political maneuvering.

    Ukrainian soldiers’ fighting spirit is affected by ongoing conflict.

    No shit, sherlock. Yankee soldiers been shooting children at their leisure for decades, and they still had their “fighting spirit affected”. What did you think an actual war would do?

    Kiev is not capable of re-establishing the collapsing front with an “elite” brigade’s dispatch

    Turns out the Hollywood myth about le elite super troopers heroically turning the tide via smol forces is just that - a myth.

  • multitotal@lemmygrad.ml
    0·
    8 months ago

    The most serious error is seeking exclusively military solutions to end hostilities.

    That ship has sailed. NATO and the liberal media have convinced anyone that surrendering or negotiations mean genocide of the Ukrainian people, Russia attacking Europe and China invading Taiwan. There is a good portion of Europeans and Americans who think global thermonuclear war is preferable to Ukraine negotiating.

    Russia has no choice but to grind down Ukraine slowly, like they have been doing, until Ukraine runs out of Western monetary support, weapons, and/or soldiers.