The original covid strain had a ~10-20% death rate. While the current strains death rate is low relative to that it also retains a fairly high casualty rate in terms of long covid brain fog and exhaustion as well as secondary effects (higher stroke, heart attack and diabetes risk for at least a year after).
My personal headcanon was that it was around 1-3% with good care, and 10-15% or something when hospitals got overwhelmed and people in the “real sick” grouping had to go it on their own and just see if they made it.
And yes, chronic impacts from Covid are much higher than for most acute diseases, that’s a good point. It’s still very mild overall compared to most novel deadly respiratory diseases though.
Ah, gotta admit I’ve stopped keeping track of most covid research. Your personal headcanon seems about right according to the linked article.
Comorbidities are an important factor as well. I’m honestly surprised the cruise didn’t have higher spread but I guess after they knew/were quarantined they upped their prevention protocols.
With the current doctor and nursing shortage we’re probably in a medium range at baseline nowadays. We also know multiple infections increase chance of mortality and other effects which is harder to address.
The original covid strain had a ~10-20% death rate. While the current strains death rate is low relative to that it also retains a fairly high casualty rate in terms of long covid brain fog and exhaustion as well as secondary effects (higher stroke, heart attack and diabetes risk for at least a year after).
I’m pretty sure that was an impact of inaccurate early estimates of the CFR. I won’t swear to it but I think that’s what was going on.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30244-9/fulltext
My personal headcanon was that it was around 1-3% with good care, and 10-15% or something when hospitals got overwhelmed and people in the “real sick” grouping had to go it on their own and just see if they made it.
And yes, chronic impacts from Covid are much higher than for most acute diseases, that’s a good point. It’s still very mild overall compared to most novel deadly respiratory diseases though.
Ah, gotta admit I’ve stopped keeping track of most covid research. Your personal headcanon seems about right according to the linked article.
Comorbidities are an important factor as well. I’m honestly surprised the cruise didn’t have higher spread but I guess after they knew/were quarantined they upped their prevention protocols.
With the current doctor and nursing shortage we’re probably in a medium range at baseline nowadays. We also know multiple infections increase chance of mortality and other effects which is harder to address.