Trump’s plan seem to be to purge the US military of any generals that don’t agree with him, and his Secretary of Defence pick, has spoken of the need for using the military against US citizens he sees as leftist.
If this is how things play out, how likely is it some states like California may talk of secession, or armed resistance organizes against the military?
Highly unlikely, the closest I can see it getting is Troubles style car bombs, truck bombs, and maybe some homemade fpv drone strikes, plus a bunch of cops and feds beating and shooting people in retaliation.
Despite the political turmoil, I’d say the likelihood is still low.
*third civil war
Everyone forgets about the coal wars, and the scenario you are talking about will likely look very similar to that one.
I’d say close to 0. If it were the right, I’d say they’d be more willing to get violent. I don’t think “the left” has the same kind of bloodlust or war romanticization as the right does. “We’ll” just take it until it goes too far, then there will be riots in protest, but no actual “civil war.”
A US civil war today would likely be between US military factions, not civilians.