I can’t really see any other reason why they would do such a radical move. Does the Trump clique plan a war with China in the near future? Do you think a third world war is imminent?
Short answer: Yes
Obama’s and Biden’s sanctions, along with Trump’s tariffs, have split the world into economic camps with opposing interests. This is a prelude to a world war, whether it is hot or cold.
American policy has always been to smash anyone who can potentially grow to threaten their hegemony. After the fall of the USSR, their aim remained to keep dismantling Russia. Furthermore, they used the export of capital to China as a way to keep China away from the USSR. With the fall of the USSR, this was no longer necessary, and plans started being drawn about eliminating Chinese communism.
However, after 2001, the US got distracted by their wars in the Middle and Near East, which lasted a lot longer than expected, and exhausted their military industrial capacity more than it should.
Their arrogance had them think that they could force Russia to suffer a similar exhaustion by provoking a war in Ukraine. They found out that they miscalculated, as Russia fought the war in a way that Americans would never think of. No mass indiscriminate bombing of cities and civilian infrastructure, slow positional warfare instead of aggresive large maneuvers, retreat away from potential defeat to preserve lives, etc. Meanwhile Russia’s centralized military economy has shown to be a lot more efficient, a lot more productive and a lot more cheaper, than the American model.
The Americans realized that Russia’s existing industries and focus on raw material extraction allows them to punch well above their weight. At the same time, Americans (and Europeans) are finding out that stock trading and bank services may have produced a lot of wealth for them, but they are absolutely useless in producing tanks, rockets and jets, or even in protecting their population from disastrous economic blockades.
So yes, Trump’s (urgent) aim is to rebuild industry in the US, so the US is able to rebuild its military, so the US can threaten Russia and China to bow down and stop challenging US hegemony, which is most likely going to lead to WW3.
Even if Trump fails, we might see a WW3. This is precisely why BRICS are letting the Americans down slowly and softly. Avoiding sudden moves can prevent the US from reacting militarily.
It’s not just the trump clique. War with China has been in the plans since the Obama years. They’ve been trying really really hard to provoke it. Hell, even the customs fucker who harassed me about my little red book told me we’d be at war with them by next year when I got back from China last year.
I don’t think it’s much deeper than a plan to crash the economy temporarily to let Trump and his friends purchase stocks and other investments at a discounted price
The plan is to move past capitalism. The billionaires have money, and power, what they want is power that is not checked by pesky laws, regulations and democratic institutions. They want private cities where only those they deem worthy may reside. Trump plans on giving them what they want. Trump will hasten the decline of the American Empire so that they can build their fiefdoms on its ashes.
That would still be capitalism.
Is my cat’s plan to get locked in the garage? I can’t see any other reason for why he keeps sprinting under the door as it’s closing
Does the Trump clique plan a war with China in the near future?
It shouldn’t be characterized as a “Trump” objective to get into a hot war with China, those plans have been in the works for a long time, as far back as the WWII era. It’s the established plan of the American imperial core, not a single administration.
The modern iteration of this plan traces back to Obama’s Pivot to Asia when the US think tanks and empire managers started noticing China’s economic and technological growth needed to be hampered to maintain the Wolfowitz Doctrine’s end-of-history assertion for total American global hegemony forever. My view is that the Wolfowitz Doctrine represents a subconscious understanding that capitalism’s contradictions will cause the US to collapse without unrestricted global imperialism that can only be maintained through military and economic superiority (read: oppression).
There’s a very long story here, but I’m only going to hit on a few points.
The Pivot To Asia set the stage for the new cold war. This resulted in the increasing US military build-up around mainland China. The US decided the best way to weaken China is to break it apart by promoting political capture, insurgency and color revolution, inside and around China. Notably with Hong Kong and Taiwan, which are both in the process of peaceful reunification after a long western occupation. There was an attempted US-backed color revolution in Hong Kong called the “Umbrella Revolution” in 2014 (Obama), then another color revolution attempt in 2019 (Trump) with the “Hong Kong Protests”. Both of which failed, thankfully.
I’m not sure how long Taiwan’s DPP has been funded and politically captured by the US. Maybe always? The US has been provoking that situation for a long time. Just before the Taiwan Presidential elections in 2022, the Biden admin sent House Speaker, Nancy Pelosi, to interfere with Taiwan’s elections in support of the DPP seperatist, Lai Ching-te, despite very strong objections (which China responded to with deploying warships in the Straight and flying PLA fighter jets over Taipei).
After Lai Ching-te won the election (but the DPP failed to obtain a majority), Biden increased military sales to Taiwan and Taiwan is being flooded with weapons. US military fascists are training children and turning high-schools into gun ranges. In 2023 the [US openly discussed bombing TSMC, one of the largest chip makers on earth, in case the US-backed separatist DPP failed. The Biden admin started making threats of nuclear war over Taiwan in 2024.
The 2022 CHIPS Act was an act of economic warfare against China as a response to the fact that US military and tech supply chains would collapse in the event of a hot war with China, so that should also be seen as a direct preparation for war with China. The TikTok ban has been about seizing control of all social media that’s even slightly outside the control of the CIA, and to reduce empathy with Chinese folks. I think the overnight popularity of RedNote/Redbook or whatever scared them. Then there was the slew of anti-Chinese bills rushed through US congress and, of course, the Crucial Communism Teaching Act sneaking in in December 2024, which is specifically aimed at making Amerikkkan children even more racist toward Chinese people.
The US has been re-arming Japan; turning S. Korea into a Naval hub; selling nuclear submarines and ballistic nuclear missiles to Australia; arming the Marcos Jr. regime and placing ballistic nuclear missile launchers in the Phillipines (despite the fact there are not really supposed to be any US bases in the Phillipines)…
The US basically announced plans to invade China in 2027, in August of last year. The proxy war in Ukraine was supposed to isolate Russia and China, but had the opposite effect of moving them closer together.
These are the deliberate actions of the imperial machine grinding forward behind a puppet show of electoralism. The contradictions of capitalism sharpen and things accelerate dangerously.
Do you think a third world war is imminent?
I think when you study the history of the CIA, WW3 was everything that happened between 1945 and the collapse of the Soviet Union (but even then it’s hard to delineate with Afghanistan, Yugoslavia, etc.) The US was waging war, genocide, nuclear brinksmanship, sabotage, coups, assassinations, arming/training/funding fascists and reactionaries, propping up compradors, and setting up Fifth Columns all over the world for decades. If that’s not a world war it’s only for lack of honesty.
If this new stage of US imperialism crosses a noticeably higher threshold of depravity and destruction, it’s only for aspiring to attack a country with a nuclear arsenal and that can actually defend itself. I don’t think peer (or near-peer) combat is a necessary criteria for a world war. But in this case I fully believe China has every single advantage in such a conflict, and by a large margin. Amerikkka’s strategy seems to rest on starting as many fires as possible all at once for its “adversaries” in order to weaken them. The interesting part seeing these tactics backfire and re-align the world against the US.
Does the US plan hot war with China? Absolutely. The real question is ‘will the US be able to position themselves confidently enough to pull the trigger on an apocalyptic war before it totally collapses?’
That sounds expensive and could potentially hurt the profits of the military industrial complex. Far better to just not industrialise, but continue to increase military budgets, Much better for the bank account of the Lockheed Martin CEO that way.
Considering Trump’s recent remarks about raising the defense budget to a trillion dollars…yeah, I’d say that’s a fair assumption. But I don’t think he’s looking at war with China. At least, not until after he’s taken over Greenland and Canada, anyway.
Of course that is a major reason. But not the only reason.
Trump isn’t really bringing manufacturing back, the tariffs won’t do that. They will cause chaos in the stock market that he can profit off though. He’d have to subside manufacturing here to bring it back, and it doesn’t seem like that’s something that he’s willing to do.
However they do appear to be preparing for war with China and this could easily lead to a third world war.
It is a decoupling plan and imperialists turn to war to solve capitalist crisis, so in a sense yes but the context is important. It’s also important to understand that the Trump admin is being so open and stupid about it that it is undermining their own plan. Liberal administrations know that decoupling from China would best be done by peeling off other imperialized countries to do the manufacturing while slowly subsidizing (largely automated) industrialization in the USA. That is essentially what Obama and Biden sought, though they were also incompetent at this domestically because finance ate up all of their stimuluses.
Trump gives China amazing propaganda victories at home and abroad. Propaganda victories that allow it to protect itself against that decoupling when they would otherwise have needed to fight liberals at home and abroad much harder to achieve needed defensive policies.
