Does the Trump clique plan a war with China in the near future?

It shouldn’t be characterized as a “Trump” objective to get into a hot war with China, those plans have been in the works for a long time, as far back as the WWII era. It’s the established plan of the American imperial core, not a single administration.

The modern iteration of this plan traces back to Obama’s Pivot to Asia when the US think tanks and empire managers started noticing China’s economic and technological growth needed to be hampered to maintain the Wolfowitz Doctrine’s end-of-history assertion for total American global hegemony forever. My view is that the Wolfowitz Doctrine represents a subconscious understanding that capitalism’s contradictions will cause the US to collapse without unrestricted global imperialism that can only be maintained through military and economic superiority (read: oppression).

There’s a very long story here, but I’m only going to hit on a few points.

The Pivot To Asia set the stage for the new cold war. This resulted in the increasing US military build-up around mainland China. The US decided the best way to weaken China is to break it apart by promoting political capture, insurgency and color revolution, inside and around China. Notably with Hong Kong and Taiwan, which are both in the process of peaceful reunification after a long western occupation. There was an attempted US-backed color revolution in Hong Kong called the “Umbrella Revolution” in 2014 (Obama), then another color revolution attempt in 2019 (Trump) with the “Hong Kong Protests”. Both of which failed, thankfully.

I’m not sure how long Taiwan’s DPP has been funded and politically captured by the US. Maybe always? The US has been provoking that situation for a long time. Just before the Taiwan Presidential elections in 2022, the Biden admin sent House Speaker, Nancy Pelosi, to interfere with Taiwan’s elections in support of the DPP seperatist, Lai Ching-te, despite very strong objections (which China responded to with deploying warships in the Straight and flying PLA fighter jets over Taipei).

After Lai Ching-te won the election (but the DPP failed to obtain a majority), Biden increased military sales to Taiwan and Taiwan is being flooded with weapons. US military fascists are training children and turning high-schools into gun ranges. In 2023 the [US openly discussed bombing TSMC, one of the largest chip makers on earth, in case the US-backed separatist DPP failed. The Biden admin started making threats of nuclear war over Taiwan in 2024.

The 2022 CHIPS Act was an act of economic warfare against China as a response to the fact that US military and tech supply chains would collapse in the event of a hot war with China, so that should also be seen as a direct preparation for war with China. The TikTok ban has been about seizing control of all social media that’s even slightly outside the control of the CIA, and to reduce empathy with Chinese folks. I think the overnight popularity of RedNote/Redbook or whatever scared them. Then there was the slew of anti-Chinese bills rushed through US congress and, of course, the Crucial Communism Teaching Act sneaking in in December 2024, which is specifically aimed at making Amerikkkan children even more racist toward Chinese people.

The US has been re-arming Japan; turning S. Korea into a Naval hub; selling nuclear submarines and ballistic nuclear missiles to Australia; arming the Marcos Jr. regime and placing ballistic nuclear missile launchers in the Phillipines (despite the fact there are not really supposed to be any US bases in the Phillipines)…

The US basically announced plans to invade China in 2027, in August of last year. The proxy war in Ukraine was supposed to isolate Russia and China, but had the opposite effect of moving them closer together.

These are the deliberate actions of the imperial machine grinding forward behind a puppet show of electoralism. The contradictions of capitalism sharpen and things accelerate dangerously.

Do you think a third world war is imminent?

I think when you study the history of the CIA, WW3 was everything that happened between 1945 and the collapse of the Soviet Union (but even then it’s hard to delineate with Afghanistan, Yugoslavia, etc.) The US was waging war, genocide, nuclear brinksmanship, sabotage, coups, assassinations, arming/training/funding fascists and reactionaries, propping up compradors, and setting up Fifth Columns all over the world for decades. If that’s not a world war it’s only for lack of honesty.

If this new stage of US imperialism crosses a noticeably higher threshold of depravity and destruction, it’s only for aspiring to attack a country with a nuclear arsenal and that can actually defend itself. I don’t think peer (or near-peer) combat is a necessary criteria for a world war. But in this case I fully believe China has every single advantage in such a conflict, and by a large margin. Amerikkka’s strategy seems to rest on starting as many fires as possible all at once for its “adversaries” in order to weaken them. The interesting part seeing these tactics backfire and re-align the world against the US.

Does the US plan hot war with China? Absolutely. The real question is ‘will the US be able to position themselves confidently enough to pull the trigger on an apocalyptic war before it totally collapses?’