This works on longer scales, but I have to be honest with you, I don’t know if me looking back at the late 90s and going “yeah, that went wrong at some point” is just my generation’s version of being nostalgic for a time where you were oblivious to the crappy stuff or a fairly objective assessment of modern world trends.
I DID grow up in what amounted to a developing nation, several of my neighbors couldn’t read or write and I didn’t have a telephone or a VCR until well into the nineties, but also… you know, the post 9-11 period doesn’t seem like a particular uptrend for civilization, in hindsight.
I get what you’re saying, and you’re not wrong in that sense…
But we are heading for / already in the … general collapse of modern technological society.
Matrix code has too much technical debt?
Real world has too much fragile complexity, too much accumulated and unavoidable environmental destruction, too many cheaply extracted and expended vital resources (leaving only the expensive to extract), and too many mouths to feed, who can only be fed with those now expensive vital resources as part of the food production system.
The actuaries broadly agree with this scenario as well, though their timeline is a bit more optimistic.
50% collapse of world GDP in 2070 to 2100, as compared to right now.
We overshot 1.5C last year.
88% of the world’s coral reefs are bleached and basically permanently dead.
Hansen’s latest climate papers are trying to explain why our climate models have been wrong… in the optimistic direction, fundamental climate sensitivity is actually greater than consensus.
Antarctica melting faster than projections, Artic getting closer and closer to a Blue Ocean event, again faster than expected.
We might have the AMOC collapse in the next 10 years.
This works on longer scales, but I have to be honest with you, I don’t know if me looking back at the late 90s and going “yeah, that went wrong at some point” is just my generation’s version of being nostalgic for a time where you were oblivious to the crappy stuff or a fairly objective assessment of modern world trends.
I DID grow up in what amounted to a developing nation, several of my neighbors couldn’t read or write and I didn’t have a telephone or a VCR until well into the nineties, but also… you know, the post 9-11 period doesn’t seem like a particular uptrend for civilization, in hindsight.
The Matrix had it right.
1999, turn of the millenium.
Zenith of human society, all downhill from there.
Unless you were gay, or female, non-white or lived in Eastern Europe, Asia (minus Japan), India, Africa, South America or Central America.
… Its still all downhill from here.
I get what you’re saying, and you’re not wrong in that sense…
But we are heading for / already in the … general collapse of modern technological society.
Matrix code has too much technical debt?
Real world has too much fragile complexity, too much accumulated and unavoidable environmental destruction, too many cheaply extracted and expended vital resources (leaving only the expensive to extract), and too many mouths to feed, who can only be fed with those now expensive vital resources as part of the food production system.
The actuaries broadly agree with this scenario as well, though their timeline is a bit more optimistic.
https://actuaries.org.uk/planetary-solvency
50% collapse of world GDP in 2070 to 2100, as compared to right now.
We overshot 1.5C last year.
88% of the world’s coral reefs are bleached and basically permanently dead.
Hansen’s latest climate papers are trying to explain why our climate models have been wrong… in the optimistic direction, fundamental climate sensitivity is actually greater than consensus.
Antarctica melting faster than projections, Artic getting closer and closer to a Blue Ocean event, again faster than expected.
We might have the AMOC collapse in the next 10 years.
Etc.