• 3 Posts
  • 833 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 4th, 2023

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  • It’s definitely a terrible system, and there are better ones out there like 10Groups. But astrology is completely meaningless. The PCT at least tells you a vague (terrible, yes), but somewhat meaningful direction in which you believe.

    For example, I know that since I’m libertarian left on the PCT, that I’m going to disagree with 90% of the things somebody who’s authoritarian right on the PCT believes.

    Astrology doesn’t have that ability to reliably compare, since it is literally and completely meaningless.

    But again, shit like 10Groups is better and everybody should switch to measures that have more than 2 axis.


  • Again, 6x as many third party votes on the right. Spoiler effect ain’t shit to the left.

    On its own that statistic is meaningless, as it doesn’t tell you how much overlap there is, and therefore how much spoiling there is. And regardless of which side, the spoiler effect is a symptom of a terrible voting system. The entrance of an irrelevant candidate should not sway the results of an election at all.

    Additionally, everything is looking like it will be a very close race, in which case every bit of the spoiler effect matters, even if more of it is on the right, which you haven’t established.

    The overlap exists yes but the DNC has not moved left much in 12 years leaving progressives pretty disenfranchised

    I don’t like it either. But my point stands, there is an alternative choice.

    The problem here is the spoiler effect, the system in which we elect representatives. It is in large part what allows the doupoly to remain uncompetitive.


  • The spoiler effect is at best a bad hypothesis

    No, it’s well understood, and very clearly exists. Here is an example using randomly generated voters ans candidates:

    Election report for election "Plurality 2 Candidates"
    Total people: 1047
    
    Kruger - 112 votes - WINNER
    Sahl - 111 votes
    

    Election report for election "Plurality 3 Candidates"
    Total people: 1047
    
    Sahl - 109 votes - WINNER
    Kruger - 93 votes
    Maikol - 91 votes
    

    The problem is that these are in effect venn diagrams. There will always be overlap, and that’s the problem. That’s what leads to election results being changed by the entrance of an irrelevant candidate (the spoiler effect).

    and has never been proven to effect actual votes.

    That’s because the spoiler effect most easily happens in races that are already close, because we don’t do much actual real life testing with actual elections because of the uncountable number of variables, and because doing it the python data science way is significantly more meaningful because of the aforementioned number of variables problem.

    People voting third party just would not vote if there was no third party option.

    If that’s really true, then this whole idea about the democratic party trying to earn the votes of green voters is bunk. Either there is no overlap, in which case it’s bunk. Or there is overlap, in which case we have a spoiler effect.









    • Corps and foreign investors shouldn’t be able to own housing (multi unit should be co-op/market rate nonprofits)

    • Individuals should not be able to own more than 5 homes. (The number is semi arbitrary, but at a certain point it is very clearly hoarding, and therefore shouldn’t be allowed)

    • AirBNB and similar should be heavily regulated. (They turn permanent residences into short term, which reduces capacity, and drives up prices all around)

    • Shift to a land value tax system as the primary means of tax collection. What few landlords/scalpers exist after the above changes will have even less room to breathe. And it would punish vacancy, which would put pressure to keep as much housing available as possible.

    There may need to be some exceptions. But if changes like this were to occur, we wouldn’t have this problem.



  • This is exactly the thing I’ve been looking for. It saves everything as a sqlite db, and has csv export options. So you’re not fucked over if you need to switch to something else. It’s compatible for linux/windows.

    And the import options seem pretty good too.

    Congrats, you’ve made me spend the whole day switching everything over to that lol.

    The only real issue is that one of my banks deals with more than one type of currency. So I’ve had to write a custom script to handle that. But all in all, this is a massive upgrade for me. Thank you for this recommendation.




  • The real issue is low info voters aren’t going to have a nuanced opinion like. It will be 0 or 10.

    Yeah. For the reason I think each candidate should be given one page to explain their policy. And that page should be printed out and available to all voters.

    For mail in voters it should be included with their ballot.

    Far too often I’ve voted in local elections and tried to research the candidate just to find no information on any of them. It’s infuriating trying to make a choice when it’s impossible to know anything.

    We are wasting our efforts arguing over the details of a voting system when voting reform isn’t even on the table.

    Agreed. But we can dream.


  • and replace it with the election being won based primarily on turnout in California

    No, it would replace it with a majority FPTP country wide system. Californians are a minority of the country. They do not get sole control, nor would they under a popular vote system.

    California was larger than their margin nationally.

    But not all of that margin comes from California, and not all of Californians vote blue.

    Where you live should have no effect on how much of a voice you have in the federal government. Everybody’s vote should be counted, and counted equally, because we’re all made equally. The current system completely fails at that.