Flight path of a plane that took off from Damascus shorty after news broke that Assad left the city towards unknown destination, which might have been Latakia on Syrian coast which is still under SAA control as of now. Terrain in place where flightradar stopped tracking that plane isn’t especially suited for emergency landing

Shortly after crash Syrian Army Command informs officers about fall of the regime https://xcancel.com/Alhadath_Brk/status/1865587913817305454#m

update: it’s not spoofed transponder data or controlled landing, locals reported plane crash in the area. rumors so far, but dawn will break soon in Syria and we’ll know https://xcancel.com/Schizointel/status/1865593800678130081#m

clarification: there’s some chance that Assad went out of Damascus before on other, private jet, so it’s not sure and it’s all conjecture on unproven information

update 2: there’s a claim by Russian media that Assad is in Moscow, so he would have to flee on some earlier plane, but no photos as of now. Still, looked mildly credible at the time

  • SpaceCowboy@lemmy.caEnglish
    171·
    6 days ago

    Good example of why you don’t trust internet “journalism.”

    It’s just a rumour until you get confirmation from the AP. People tend to think the mainstream media is hiding things, but it’s usually down to them not publishing unconfirmed rumours while the internet will. And here’s an example of why that is. Many of these things wind up being false. It’s better to hear about what actually happened two days later than spend time forming opinions about what might have happened right now.

    • nuke@sh.itjust.worksMEnglish
      14·
      6 days ago

      It’s better to hear about what actually happened two days later than spend time forming opinions about what might have happened right now

      Lmao do you know where you are??? This is NCD, I have recklessly violent opinions over shit that only exists in my head.

    • jimbolauski@lemm.eeEnglish
      3·
      5 days ago

      You’re giving journalists way to much credit. The Pulitzer Prize was named after a man who started the Spanish American war by making shit up.

    • skillissuer@discuss.tchncs.deOPMEnglish
      4·
      6 days ago

      you don’t have to get AP article for every claim, but it helps. if you can get geolocated footage, that’s still a bit better than just rumors, many of these maps work this way. this time a few things were missing

  • Blackmist@feddit.ukEnglish
    5·
    6 days ago

    Russia claim he’s already in Russia, but I’ve seen no footage of him yet. It’s entirely possible he’s in the wreckage.

  • Morphit @feddit.ukEnglish
    9·
    7 days ago

    BBC article mentioning this flight. A tweet from FR24 says that the aircraft “was old with an older transponder generation, so some data might be bad or missing”, that it was “flying in an area of GPS jamming, so some data might be bad”, and that there was not aware of any airports in the area where the signal was lost.

    • skillissuer@discuss.tchncs.deOPMEnglish
      6·
      6 days ago

      nah

      it seemed plausible when it happened. i still think it’s likely that that plane crashed, there’s a red dot on FIRMS map for 8.12 around that area that wasn’t there before or after. there’s a SAM site (S-125) at 34.707328, 36.788321 near Homs and there floated a photo of these missiles on liveuamap. whether these were used in this incident, or usable at all, is different question

  • Milk_Sheikh@lemm.eeEnglish
    71·
    7 days ago

    You know when NCD has actual writeups and citations shit is getting real. Getting Wagner coup vibes, what a time to be alive where we can glimpse into the sausage of geopolitics being made in real time.

  • Lupus@feddit.orgEnglish
    661·
    7 days ago

    Honestly guys, it’s not the first time I got breaking world news from this community and I am disappointed, I thought this was non-credible?

  • Minarble@aussie.zoneEnglish
    62·
    7 days ago

    Can we speed run the Russsian collapse as well?

    It’s going to shit me if Putin falls on the 22nd Jan so the orange boofhead can claim the credit.

    • Delphia@lemmy.worldEnglish
      3·
      6 days ago

      My conspiracy theory is that Trump will “Talk tough” to Putin and “tell him” to back off and take only “minor” concessions to end the war. He gets to claim that he ended it, look how strong and diplomatic he can be. Putin will spin it differently back home, nobody will buy it but nobody will care because the sanctions will be lifted and money will start flowing.

      The Ukraine wont get NATO admission, the US will block it but they will be a whole lot better off than if Trump just removed all US support and the bombing will stop so they wont like it, but the alternative is losing the whole country.

      • Minarble@aussie.zoneEnglish
        30·
        7 days ago

        Probably both he usually takes both sides on every issue at some point.

        At least the balkanisation and collapse of Russia will be a simple thing for such a stable genius to manage.

  • Lambda@lemmy.caEnglish
    40·
    7 days ago

    One of the rare cases where I hear of a death and check wikipedia to still see the word “is”. I wonder how long confirmation will take.

      • Lupus@feddit.orgEnglish
        14·
        7 days ago

        German Wikipedia already has past tense and a small paragraph about Assad leaving the country for an unknown location.

        • BigDanishGuy@sh.itjust.worksEnglish
          16·
          7 days ago

          Is it sourced properly? Because killing people on wikipedia without sources isn’t helping wikipedia’s credibility.

          • Gurfaild@feddit.orgEnglish
            11·
            7 days ago

            At least the current version of the article uses past tense when referring to his presidency but doesn’t claim he’s dead.